Judging by the numerous dramatic daily events in Venezuela, the question if Maduro has his days counted arises in all countries around the world.
There is no doubt that President Maduro is going through rough times, as his popularity descends to 20%, so it is very possible that he gets to be part of the list of the 21 presidents from Latin America that haven’t been able to conclude their constitutional periods due to a military coup, destitutions or obligated resignation.
According to many analysts, his intransigence, hopeless intents of authoritarianism and his will to hang on to power will take him to make the worst decisions.
Experts also conclude that it is Venezuela that has to decide if Maduro is a bad president. The Constitution must find a way to dismiss him from the presidency and call for new elections. The crisis in Venezuela is a local problem and the international community can only help by facilitating dialogue. Today, 18 countries around the world support Guaido and only 8 support President Maduro. The rest of countries support dialogue or are waiting for elections to be summoned.
Two possible ways out
Experts express there are two possible ways in which the government of Maduro can come to a final collapse without an international intervention.
The first could be the overthrown of President Maduro by the military, but this option is not a feasible scenery as the military cupola is the support of Maduro’s regime and strengthens its power basis. Also, a military coup would go against any constitutional order and is not the proper democratic way of accomplishing things.
It’s interesting to outline that Venezuela has more military generals (more than 2000) than the rest of Latin American countries due to promotions and privileges given by the government to buy their support and loyalty.
The second possible way out for Venezuela’s crisis could be the creation of a civic – military assembly. This means an alliance between opposition leaders and the military, to allow and support elections in a democratic atmosphere. If this were the case, an amnesty law could be applied to the military related to the government to reduce pressure to Maduro’s government at a diplomatic level and with sanctions.